The story of this market
The typical home in Modesto, California sells for about $464,692, or $282 per square foot.
Prices are up +5.2% from a year ago, so sellers still have some momentum. Homes take about 24 days to sell, which is fast. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,800 a month.
Monthly price momentum
Home values since 2015
+0.5%
CA · past 12 months
Freddie Mac House Price Index, single-family homes, monthly through 2026-08. Each line starts at 100 in January 2015, so a reading of 180 means prices are up 80% since then.
Modesto, California
The Modesto housing market shows signs of stability with moderate price growth and a competitive pace of sales. Demand remains supported by the city's relative affordability, though inventory levels remain tight. Market participants are monitoring interest rate trends and local economic development to gauge future momentum.
No ARED county foreclosure postings attributed to Modesto yet — the verified ledger covers every county the foreclosure ingest has read, attributed by published city area. Key-figure check: median price corroborated by the published ten-year series (2025) (within 12.5%).
Deterministic aggregate of 9 researched ZIP reports — sales_count-weighted (population fallback); per point, children lacking the value or its weight are excluded. Tax rates, sentiment and context notes are tier-native and never roll.
Median prices moved up 0.0% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 37 days on market with 0.1 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
1% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 3.99% of asking — demand is holding steady.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 6.2% · poverty 14.5% — a stable, low-distress profile.
- Great Wolf Lodge | Northern California4.217.7 mi
- Hilmar Cheese Company Visitor Center4.617.1 mi
- Boomers Modesto4.66.2 mi
- John's Incredible Pizza - Modesto3.73.3 mi
- Sky Zone Trampoline Park42 mi
- Great Wolf Lodge | Northern California4.217.7 mi
- Gallo Center for the Arts4.70.1 mi
- Stanislaus County Fairgrounds & Event Center4.212.3 mi
- Golden Corral Buffet & Grill43.7 mi
- John's Incredible Pizza - Modesto3.73.3 mi
- Galaxy Theatres Riverbank IMAX4.67 mi
- Mistlin Sports Park4.511.5 mi
- Caswell Memorial State Park4.311.1 mi
- AMC Manteca 164.115.9 mi
- Mary Grogan Community Park4.55.2 mi
- Modesto Children's Museum4.60.1 mi
- Great Valley Museum and Planetarium4.72.8 mi
- The River Mill4.123.4 mi
- McHenry Museum4.70.2 mi
- Carnegie Arts Center4.712.8 mi
- Mistlin Sports Park4.511.5 mi
- Woodward Reservoir Park4.315.8 mi
- Caswell Memorial State Park4.311.1 mi
- Mary Grogan Community Park4.55.2 mi
- Woodward Community Park4.514.8 mi
- Creekside Golf Course4.23.2 mi
- River Oaks Golf Course and Event Center4.24 mi
- Dryden Park Golf Course4.11.6 mi
- Jack Tone Golf4.210 mi
- St. Stanislaus Golf Course4.35.2 mi
- Vintage Faire Mall4.34.6 mi
- El Rematito Flea Market4.33.5 mi
- WinCo Foods4.43 mi
- Safeway4.22.3 mi
- Safeway4.215.8 mi
- Stockton Metropolitan Airport4.222.6 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area from Google Maps, ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
The amenity base that shapes daily life and property demand in this city — what residents actually live with, and what the pipeline is adding.
A premier performing arts venue that hosts Broadway tours, concerts, and local productions, serving as a cultural anchor for the city.
A large-scale park system offering trails, river access, and green space, providing essential outdoor recreation for the community.
A historic neighborhood park known for its mature trees and community events, highly valued for its aesthetic and social contribution to the city.
Dedicated to the history of Modesto and Stanislaus County, this museum provides educational value and preserves the local heritage.
A public golf facility that provides accessible recreation and contributes to the city's leisure infrastructure.
Modesto is an ideal fit for families and commuters seeking more affordable housing options compared to the coastal California markets. It attracts a diverse demographic, including local professionals, agricultural industry workers, and those looking for a suburban lifestyle with access to regional urban amenities.
The public schools in Modesto are primarily served by Modesto City Schools, which offers a mix of academic and vocational programs. While some schools achieve high performance marks, overall district ratings are mixed, reflecting the diverse socioeconomic landscape of the city.
The city is served by the Highway 99 corridor, which facilitates regional transit and logistics. Public transportation is provided by Modesto Area Express (MAX), connecting residents to local and regional destinations.
Modesto offers a robust amenity base centered around its historic downtown and extensive park system, including the Tuolumne River Regional Park. Residents enjoy access to the Gallo Center for the Arts, various municipal golf courses, and proximity to outdoor recreation in the nearby Sierra Nevada foothills.
The rental market in Modesto is characterized by steady demand and low vacancy rates, driven by its affordability relative to the Bay Area. Rent growth has been moderate, and the market sees a mix of long-term residential rentals and limited short-term rental activity in the downtown area.
Modesto's economy is anchored by the agricultural, food processing, and healthcare sectors, with major employers including E. & J. Gallo Winery and local hospital systems. The city maintains a steady economic trajectory as a regional hub for the Central Valley.
Modesto serves as a major agricultural and logistics hub, benefiting from its location along the Highway 99 corridor. Economic momentum is driven by a mix of food processing, healthcare, and retail sectors, with ongoing efforts to revitalize the downtown core and expand infrastructure to support a growing population.
Current planning efforts are focused on downtown revitalization and the expansion of residential and commercial capacity along major transit corridors. These projects aim to modernize the city's infrastructure and support long-term population growth.
Parcels in Modesto are subject to various special districts, including school districts, community college districts, and local utility or flood control districts that fund essential public services.
Modesto experiences crime rates that are generally higher than the national average, with property crime being a significant component of reported incidents. Local law enforcement continues to focus on community-based policing strategies to address these trends, which remain a point of concern for residents compared to safer suburban counterparts in the region.
Modesto faces moderate risks related to climate, primarily concerning heat waves and potential air quality issues during wildfire seasons in the broader Central Valley. Flood risk is managed through regional levee systems, and property insurance markets remain stable but sensitive to statewide wildfire-related premium adjustments.
Property insurance in Modesto is influenced by regional wildfire risk assessments and general climate-related factors, with premiums remaining competitive compared to higher-risk areas in California.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (California) — Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act Special Parcel Tax Assessment: Levies an annual direct, non-ad valorem special tax directly on the parcel's secured property tax bill to fund designated community infrastructure (e.g., roads, sewer facilities, school facilities, emergency services) and repay municipal debt bonds. State (California) — California Homeowners' Property Tax Exemption: Reduces the taxable assessed value of the qualifying owner-occupied principal residence by $7,000 against the county assessment roll, generating a direct tax savings of approximately $70 annually (computed as $7,000 × 1% base rate). State (California) — California Proposition 13 Ad Valorem Real Property Tax: Establishes a base ad valorem tax rate capped at 1.0% of assessed value plus voter-approved local indebtedness and direct assessments (typically resulting in an effective tax rate of 1.1% to 1.25%).
Researched annual trajectory for this city, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 6.3%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Data retrieved from Census Reporter and CensusEasy profiles for Modesto city, CA.
The federal school roster could not be retrieved on the last refresh — no list is shown rather than an unverified one. Source: NCES EDGE public school locations 2023-24.
applies when — Parcels located within a designated Community Facilities District (CFD) established under the Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act of 1982.
Imposes a special assessment on the parcel to fund public improvements and services; failure to pay in full by June 30 may subject the property to accelerated judicial foreclosure.
Authorized by the Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act of 1982.
The base property tax rate is 1% of the assessed value, as mandated by California Proposition 13, plus additional voter-approved levies for local agencies and schools. The total tax is calculated by applying the combined rate to the assessed value of land and improvements, with adjustments for annual growth and supplemental assessments upon property transfer.
Governed by the California Revenue and Taxation Code and the AB 8 apportionment process.
≈ $4,647/yr on a $464,692 median
Regulates land use, density, and development standards based on the specific zoning district (e.g., General Agriculture, Rural Residential) assigned to the parcel.
Title 21 of the Stanislaus County Code.
Governance registry — every jurisdiction re-researches on a rolling 90-day cycle. Property reports compose these inherited burdens into a per-parcel ledger with conditional determinations. Informational only — not legal advice.