LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+1.3%|Austin · TXMedian List$290K-3.5%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$265K+1.1%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$875K+6.1%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$402K+1.2%|Chicago · ILMedian List$410K+7.8%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.7%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$412K+3.4%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$618K+5.0%|Detroit · MIMedian List$321K-2.7%|Duval County · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|El Paso · TXMedian List$301K+11.1%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$330K-1.5%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$301K+0.1%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$325K-2.3%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$250K+2.7%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$310K+3.1%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$450K+1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$1M-1.7%|Louisville · KYMedian List$280K+1.8%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$209K+4.7%|Mesa · AZMedian List$490K-0.9%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$245K+2.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$495K+3.1%|New York · NYMedian List$885K+8.7%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.4%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$279K+4.6%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$452K+0.5%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$518K-2.2%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$257K-2.9%|San Diego · CAMedian List$910K+1.1%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.6M+14.9%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.6M-5.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$844K+1.2%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$250K-2.8%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+1.3%|Austin · TXMedian List$290K-3.5%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$265K+1.1%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$875K+6.1%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$402K+1.2%|Chicago · ILMedian List$410K+7.8%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.7%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$412K+3.4%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$618K+5.0%|Detroit · MIMedian List$321K-2.7%|Duval County · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|El Paso · TXMedian List$301K+11.1%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$330K-1.5%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$301K+0.1%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$325K-2.3%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$250K+2.7%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$310K+3.1%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$450K+1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$1M-1.7%|Louisville · KYMedian List$280K+1.8%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$209K+4.7%|Mesa · AZMedian List$490K-0.9%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$245K+2.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$495K+3.1%|New York · NYMedian List$885K+8.7%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.4%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$279K+4.6%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$452K+0.5%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$518K-2.2%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$257K-2.9%|San Diego · CAMedian List$910K+1.1%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.6M+14.9%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.6M-5.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$844K+1.2%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$250K-2.8%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|
Property-class scope

The story of this market

The typical home in ZIP 95353 sells for about $475,008, or $305 per square foot.

Prices are roughly flat from a year ago (-0.3%), a market in balance. Homes take about 44 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,809 a month.

ZIP market report · consumer edition · quarterly refresh
Track this ZIP

ZIP 95353 — Modesto

Stanislaus County →Modesto marketrefreshed Sep 26, 2026next refresh Oct 26, 2026
Market mood · cautiously optimistic

The Modesto housing market is showing signs of stabilization with a median sale price of $475,008, reflecting a slight year-over-year adjustment. While inventory remains tight, the market is experiencing longer days on market, suggesting a shift toward a more balanced environment for buyers. Demand remains supported by the local employment base and relative affordability compared to the broader California market.

Who this ZIP fits

This area is well-suited for family buyers and commuters who prioritize affordability over proximity to major coastal employment hubs. It also attracts investors looking for stable rental demand in a growing Central Valley market.

Parent geography
Median sale price
$475,008
-0.3% year over year
Corroborated · 1 anchor · 0% off nearest
Days on market
44 days
Active listings
742
Listings with price cuts
16%
share of active listings
Sale-to-list ratio
100%
of asking price
ZIP Market ScoreZIP-SCORE-1.3 · 4/4 sections graded
69
Composite · average of graded sections
Computed only from this report's published readings — sections without data are excluded, never estimated.
49
Growth/100

Median prices moved down 0.3% year over year.

78
Liquidity/100

Homes spend a median of 44 days on market with 2.5 months of supply — a fast-moving market.

77
Momentum/100

16% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 100% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.

70
Safety & stability/100

no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 6.5% · poverty 15.8% — a stable, low-distress profile.

Median price · ten-year history

Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$220,000$330,000$440,000$550,000$660,000

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 6.7%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Property tax · ten-year history

Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$2,100$2,800$3,500$4,200$4,900

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 6.0%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Census trends · population flowsACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates
Population change
+0.8%

versus the prior ACS vintage

Net migration
+120 people

net influx — more people moved in than out

Population base
52,465

ZCTA 95353, Stanislaus County, CA

Area context
Crime & safety

Crime rates in the Modesto area are generally higher than the national average, with property crime being the most frequently reported issue. Local law enforcement continues to focus on community-based policing strategies to address these trends.

Schools & education

Schools serving the area are part of the Modesto City Schools district, which offers a mix of public educational options with varying performance ratings. Many families look toward specialized magnet programs within the district to access higher-rated academic environments.

Environmental & hazard

The region faces moderate risks related to extreme heat and potential air quality issues during wildfire season. Flood risk is generally managed through local levee systems, though specific parcels may require flood insurance depending on proximity to the Tuolumne River.

Growth & development

Economic momentum is driven by the healthcare, agriculture, and logistics sectors, with major employers like E. & J. Gallo Winery and local hospital systems anchoring the economy. Infrastructure improvements are focused on expanding transit connectivity to the broader Central Valley and Bay Area.

Taxation

Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (California) — Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act Special Parcel Tax Assessment: Levies an annual direct, non-ad valorem special tax directly on the parcel's secured property tax bill to fund designated community infrastructure (e.g., roads, sewer facilities, school facilities, emergency services) and repay municipal debt bonds. State (California) — California Homeowners' Property Tax Exemption: Reduces the taxable assessed value of the qualifying owner-occupied principal residence by $7,000 against the county assessment roll, generating a direct tax savings of approximately $70 annually (computed as $7,000 × 1% base rate). State (California) — California Proposition 13 Ad Valorem Real Property Tax: Establishes a base ad valorem tax rate capped at 1.0% of assessed value plus voter-approved local indebtedness and direct assessments (typically resulting in an effective tax rate of 1.1% to 1.25%).

Transportation & commute

Commuters often utilize Highway 99 for travel within the Central Valley, while those heading to the Bay Area face significant drive times or utilize regional bus and rail connections. The area serves as a bedroom community for workers seeking more affordable housing relative to coastal markets.

Recreation & amenities

Residents have access to several local parks, including Graceada Park, and are within reach of the Tuolumne River for outdoor activities. Shopping and dining are concentrated in the downtown area and various commercial corridors along major thoroughfares.

Rental market

The rental market remains competitive with low vacancy rates, driven by steady demand from families and commuters. Investors maintain a presence in the market, though short-term rental regulations are strictly monitored by city ordinances.

Economy & employers

The economy is anchored by agriculture, food processing, and healthcare services. Major employers include E. & J. Gallo Winery and various regional medical centers.

Transportation & infrastructure

The area is served by Highway 99 and regional bus services, with limited rail connectivity to the Bay Area. Infrastructure planning focuses on improving traffic flow and public transit accessibility.

Development pipeline

Development is currently focused on infill projects and the expansion of residential housing in the northern and western fringes of the city.

County appraisal district

The Stanislaus County Assessor maintains property valuations based on market sales and Proposition 13 guidelines.

Special districts

Parcels are subject to various special districts, including school districts, irrigation districts, and local fire protection services.

Insurance & hazard market

Property insurance premiums are rising due to regional wildfire risks and general market trends in California, requiring careful assessment for homeowners.

Discovery profileACS 2020-2024 5-year estimates
Census profile · ZCTA 95353, Stanislaus County, CA
Population
52,465
Median age
34.2 yrs
Owner-occupancy
52.1%
Median home value
$425,000
Median gross rent
$1,650
Median household income
$58,422
Median year built
1978
Vacancy rate
4.2%
Renter share
47.9%
Owner cost burden
28.5%
Renter cost burden
45.2%
Population change
+0.8%
Net migration
120
Work-from-home share
12.4%
Mean commute
28.5 min
Bachelor's or higher
18.2%
Unemployment
6.5%
Poverty rate
15.8%
Avg household size
2.95
White
48.5%
Hispanic
38.2%
Asian
6.1%
Black
3.5%
Other
3.7%

Data retrieved from data.census.gov using ZCTA 95353 profile.

Public schools with an address here · 2

Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.

Modesto High SchoolHigh6/10Modesto City SchoolsServes the central area with a diverse student body.
Roosevelt Junior HighMiddle5/10Modesto City SchoolsProvides core curriculum with various extracurricular activities.
School districts
Modesto City SchoolsB-Large district serving the majority of the city with a focus on academic and vocational programs.
Utilities & services
ElectricModesto Irrigation DistrictPublicly owned utility providing electricity and water services.
InternetAT&T / ComcastMajor broadband providers in the region.
Natural GasPG&EPrimary provider for natural gas services.
Major employers & industries
E. & J. Gallo WineryAgriculture/ManufacturingMajor regional employer with significant operations.
Stanislaus CountyGovernmentLarge public sector employer.
Doctors Medical CenterHealthcareKey healthcare provider for the region.
Major amenities · ZIP 95353
Entertainment venues, stadiums & amphitheaters
14 · 20 mi
Family fun & things to do
20+ · 13 mi
Museums, galleries & history
7 · 20 mi
Parks, trails & nature
19 · 13 mi
Shopping & dining districts
7 · 13 mi
Airports
1 · 31 mi

Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area ranked by popularity within the radius shown.

Amenities & attractions3 retained amenities · 1 development on the horizon
Inside this ZIP
Graceada Park
Park

A historic park featuring tennis courts, playgrounds, and community event spaces.

Tuolumne River Regional Park
Park

Extensive trail system along the river suitable for walking and cycling.

McHenry Museum
Museum

Showcases the local history and cultural heritage of Modesto and Stanislaus County.

On the horizon · announced & under construction
Downtown Modesto RevitalizationMixed-useOngoingMulti-phase project aimed at increasing residential density and commercial space in the city center.
Sources · 5 cited

Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.