The story of this market
The typical home in ZIP 95353 sells for about $475,008, or $305 per square foot.
Prices are roughly flat from a year ago (-0.3%), a market in balance. Homes take about 44 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,809 a month.
ZIP 95353 — Modesto
The Modesto housing market is showing signs of stabilization with a median sale price of $475,008, reflecting a slight year-over-year adjustment. While inventory remains tight, the market is experiencing longer days on market, suggesting a shift toward a more balanced environment for buyers. Demand remains supported by the local employment base and relative affordability compared to the broader California market.
This area is well-suited for family buyers and commuters who prioritize affordability over proximity to major coastal employment hubs. It also attracts investors looking for stable rental demand in a growing Central Valley market.
Median prices moved down 0.3% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 44 days on market with 2.5 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
16% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 100% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 6.5% · poverty 15.8% — a stable, low-distress profile.
Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 6.7%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 6.0%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
versus the prior ACS vintage
net influx — more people moved in than out
ZCTA 95353, Stanislaus County, CA
Crime rates in the Modesto area are generally higher than the national average, with property crime being the most frequently reported issue. Local law enforcement continues to focus on community-based policing strategies to address these trends.
Schools serving the area are part of the Modesto City Schools district, which offers a mix of public educational options with varying performance ratings. Many families look toward specialized magnet programs within the district to access higher-rated academic environments.
The region faces moderate risks related to extreme heat and potential air quality issues during wildfire season. Flood risk is generally managed through local levee systems, though specific parcels may require flood insurance depending on proximity to the Tuolumne River.
Economic momentum is driven by the healthcare, agriculture, and logistics sectors, with major employers like E. & J. Gallo Winery and local hospital systems anchoring the economy. Infrastructure improvements are focused on expanding transit connectivity to the broader Central Valley and Bay Area.
Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (California) — Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act Special Parcel Tax Assessment: Levies an annual direct, non-ad valorem special tax directly on the parcel's secured property tax bill to fund designated community infrastructure (e.g., roads, sewer facilities, school facilities, emergency services) and repay municipal debt bonds. State (California) — California Homeowners' Property Tax Exemption: Reduces the taxable assessed value of the qualifying owner-occupied principal residence by $7,000 against the county assessment roll, generating a direct tax savings of approximately $70 annually (computed as $7,000 × 1% base rate). State (California) — California Proposition 13 Ad Valorem Real Property Tax: Establishes a base ad valorem tax rate capped at 1.0% of assessed value plus voter-approved local indebtedness and direct assessments (typically resulting in an effective tax rate of 1.1% to 1.25%).
Commuters often utilize Highway 99 for travel within the Central Valley, while those heading to the Bay Area face significant drive times or utilize regional bus and rail connections. The area serves as a bedroom community for workers seeking more affordable housing relative to coastal markets.
Residents have access to several local parks, including Graceada Park, and are within reach of the Tuolumne River for outdoor activities. Shopping and dining are concentrated in the downtown area and various commercial corridors along major thoroughfares.
The rental market remains competitive with low vacancy rates, driven by steady demand from families and commuters. Investors maintain a presence in the market, though short-term rental regulations are strictly monitored by city ordinances.
The economy is anchored by agriculture, food processing, and healthcare services. Major employers include E. & J. Gallo Winery and various regional medical centers.
The area is served by Highway 99 and regional bus services, with limited rail connectivity to the Bay Area. Infrastructure planning focuses on improving traffic flow and public transit accessibility.
Development is currently focused on infill projects and the expansion of residential housing in the northern and western fringes of the city.
The Stanislaus County Assessor maintains property valuations based on market sales and Proposition 13 guidelines.
Parcels are subject to various special districts, including school districts, irrigation districts, and local fire protection services.
Property insurance premiums are rising due to regional wildfire risks and general market trends in California, requiring careful assessment for homeowners.
Data retrieved from data.census.gov using ZCTA 95353 profile.
Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.
- Great Wolf Lodge | Northern California4.217.6 mi
- Hilmar Cheese Company Visitor Center4.617.3 mi
- Boomers Modesto4.66.1 mi
- John's Incredible Pizza - Modesto3.73.1 mi
- Sky Zone Trampoline Park42 mi
- Great Wolf Lodge | Northern California4.217.6 mi
- Gallo Center for the Arts4.70.1 mi
- Stanislaus County Fairgrounds & Event Center4.212.4 mi
- Golden Corral Buffet & Grill43.6 mi
- John's Incredible Pizza - Modesto3.73.1 mi
- Galaxy Theatres Riverbank IMAX4.67 mi
- Mistlin Sports Park4.511.4 mi
- Caswell Memorial State Park4.310.9 mi
- Mary Grogan Community Park4.55.3 mi
- Brenden Theatres Modesto 18 & JBX4.30.1 mi
- Modesto Children's Museum4.60.1 mi
- Great Valley Museum and Planetarium4.72.7 mi
- McHenry Museum4.70.3 mi
- Carnegie Arts Center4.713 mi
- Picasso's Gourmet Deli4.80 mi
- Mistlin Sports Park4.511.4 mi
- Caswell Memorial State Park4.310.9 mi
- Mary Grogan Community Park4.55.3 mi
- Jacob Myers Park4.57.9 mi
- Graceada Park4.20.5 mi
- Creekside Golf Course4.23.4 mi
- River Oaks Golf Course and Event Center4.24.2 mi
- Dryden Park Golf Course4.11.6 mi
- Jack Tone Golf4.29.8 mi
- St. Stanislaus Golf Course4.35.2 mi
- Vintage Faire Mall4.34.5 mi
- El Rematito Flea Market4.33.5 mi
- WinCo Foods4.42.8 mi
- Safeway4.22.2 mi
- Sprouts Farmers Market4.42.1 mi
- Stockton Metropolitan Airport4.222.4 mi
Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area ranked by popularity within the radius shown.
A historic park featuring tennis courts, playgrounds, and community event spaces.
Extensive trail system along the river suitable for walking and cycling.
Showcases the local history and cultural heritage of Modesto and Stanislaus County.
Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.