LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+1.3%|Austin · TXMedian List$290K-3.5%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$265K+1.1%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$875K+6.1%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$402K+1.2%|Chicago · ILMedian List$410K+7.8%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.7%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$412K+3.4%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$618K+5.0%|Detroit · MIMedian List$321K-2.7%|Duval County · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|El Paso · TXMedian List$301K+11.1%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$330K-1.5%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$301K+0.1%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$325K-2.3%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$250K+2.7%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$310K+3.1%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$450K+1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$1M-1.7%|Louisville · KYMedian List$280K+1.8%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$209K+4.7%|Mesa · AZMedian List$490K-0.9%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$245K+2.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$495K+3.1%|New York · NYMedian List$885K+8.7%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.4%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$279K+4.6%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$452K+0.5%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$518K-2.2%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$257K-2.9%|San Diego · CAMedian List$910K+1.1%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.6M+14.9%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.6M-5.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$844K+1.2%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$250K-2.8%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|LatestCoverageAll 50 states, D.C. and five territories now on the ledger|NewPuerto Rico's 78 municipios ledgered, municipio by municipio|FeatureAssessment appeal workspace — build a filing package from your own evidence|FeatureLiving reports — versioned, re-runnable, exportable|DevelopersMetered REST gateway · issued keys · signed webhooks|Live market readings · refreshed on loadAlbuquerque · NMMedian List$360K+1.3%|Austin · TXMedian List$290K-3.5%|Baltimore · MDMedian List$265K+1.1%|Bernalillo County · NMMedian List$364K+2.7%|Bexar County · TXMedian List$303K+3.7%|Boston · MAMedian List$875K+6.1%|Charlotte · NCMedian List$402K+1.2%|Chicago · ILMedian List$410K+7.8%|Clark County · NVMedian List$447K+0.1%|Columbus · OHMedian List$300K+0.7%|Cook County · ILMedian List$348K+5.1%|Dallas · TXMedian List$412K+3.4%|Davidson County · TNMedian List$465K-1.1%|Denver · COMedian List$618K+5.0%|Detroit · MIMedian List$321K-2.7%|Duval County · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|El Paso · TXMedian List$301K+11.1%|Fort Worth · TXMedian List$330K-1.5%|Franklin County · OHMedian List$301K+0.1%|Fresno · CAMedian List$375K+2.1%|Harris County · TXMedian List$327K+0.6%|Houston · TXMedian List$325K-2.3%|Indianapolis · INMedian List$250K+2.7%|Jackson County · MOMedian List$275K+7.0%|Jacksonville · FLMedian List$312K-1.4%|Jefferson County · KYMedian List$248K-4.3%|Kansas City · MOMedian List$310K+3.1%|King County · WAMedian List$850K-4.0%|Las Vegas · NVMedian List$450K+1.1%|Los Angeles · CAMedian List$1M-1.7%|Louisville · KYMedian List$280K+1.8%|Maricopa County · AZMedian List$458K-0.4%|Marion County · INMedian List$259K+3.7%|Mecklenburg County · NCMedian List$407K-5.3%|Memphis · TNMedian List$209K+4.7%|Mesa · AZMedian List$490K-0.9%|Milwaukee · WIMedian List$245K+2.7%|Multnomah County · ORMedian List$518K-1.2%|Nashville · TNMedian List$495K+3.1%|New York · NYMedian List$885K+8.7%|Oklahoma City · OKMedian List$275K-0.4%|Oklahoma County · OKMedian List$259K-0.7%|Philadelphia · PAMedian List$279K+4.6%|Phoenix · AZMedian List$452K+0.5%|Pima County · AZMedian List$373K+0.9%|Portland · ORMedian List$518K-2.2%|Sacramento · CAMedian List$510K+4.0%|San Antonio · TXMedian List$257K-2.9%|San Diego · CAMedian List$910K+1.1%|San Francisco · CAMedian List$1.6M+14.9%|San Jose · CAMedian List$1.6M-5.9%|Santa Clara County · CAMedian List$1.3M+0.1%|Seattle · WAMedian List$844K+1.2%|Shelby County · TNMedian List$250K-2.8%|Suffolk County · MAMedian List$857K+7.3%|Tarrant County · TXMedian List$385K-1.2%|Travis County · TXMedian List$497K-5.3%|Tucson · AZMedian List$324K-0.9%|Wayne County · MIMedian List$160K0.0%|
Property-class scope

The story of this market

The typical home in ZIP 95307 sells for about $510,000, or $295 per square foot.

Prices are up +19% from a year ago, so sellers still have some momentum. Homes take about 34 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,000 a month.

ZIP market report · consumer edition · quarterly refresh
Track this ZIP

ZIP 95307 — Ceres

Stanislaus County →refreshed Oct 8, 2026next refresh Nov 7, 2026
Market mood · cautiously optimistic

The 95307 housing market is currently competitive, driven by strong demand for affordable single-family homes. While home values have seen some volatility, the overall trend remains positive with significant year-over-year price growth. Inventory remains tight, supporting a seller-favorable environment.

Who this ZIP fits

This ZIP is well-suited for families and first-time homebuyers seeking more affordable housing options compared to the Bay Area. It also attracts commuters who work in the Central Valley and value the suburban lifestyle and access to regional highways.

Parent geography
Ceres · no city intel reportStanislaus County →California state →
Aerial view · ZIP boundaries2020 Census ZCTA boundary over current aerial imagery
Leaflet Imagery © Esri, Maxar, Earthstar Geographics
Land area · 85 km²U.S. Census Bureau TIGERweb — 2020 Census ZCTA5 boundary
Median sale price
$510,000
+19% year over year
Corroborated · 1 anchor · 2% off nearest
Days on market
34 days
Active listings
55
Listings with price cuts
12%
share of active listings
Sale-to-list ratio
98%
of asking price
ZIP Market ScoreZIP-SCORE-1.3 · 4/4 sections graded
81
Composite · average of graded sections
Computed only from this report's published readings — sections without data are excluded, never estimated.
100
Growth/100

Median prices moved up 19.0% year over year.

79
Liquidity/100

Homes spend a median of 34 days on market with 3.2 months of supply — a fast-moving market.

74
Momentum/100

12% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 98% of asking — demand is running ahead of supply.

72
Safety & stability/100

no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 6.5% · poverty 14.0% — a stable, low-distress profile.

Median price · ten-year history

Researched annual trajectory for this ZIP, from published historical series

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$150,000$300,000$450,000$600,000$750,000

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 7.3%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Property tax · ten-year history

Median annual property tax paid on this ZIP's residential parcels

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025202620282030$1,900$2,850$3,800$4,750$5,700

Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 6.6%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.

Census trends · population flowsACS 2023 5-year estimates
Population change
+1.2%

versus the prior ACS vintage

Net migration
+500 people

net influx — more people moved in than out

Population base
52,000

ZCTA 95307, Stanislaus County, CA

Area context
Crime & safety

Crime rates in Ceres are generally consistent with regional averages for Stanislaus County, with property crime being the primary concern. Local law enforcement maintains active community outreach programs to address safety trends.

Schools & education

Schools serving the 95307 area are primarily part of the Ceres Unified School District, which provides a range of educational options from elementary through high school. Performance ratings vary by campus, with ongoing efforts to improve student outcomes and college readiness.

Environmental & hazard

The area is subject to standard California climate risks, including potential for extreme heat and seasonal air quality impacts from regional wildfires. Flood risk is managed through local drainage infrastructure and FEMA-mapped zones.

Growth & development

Economic momentum is driven by the area's proximity to major agricultural and logistics hubs in the Central Valley. Infrastructure improvements along the Highway 99 corridor continue to support residential and commercial expansion.

Taxation

Composed from the ARED governance burden registry — tier-native tax structure (state + county + city + special districts), never averaged. State (California) — Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act Special Parcel Tax Assessment: Levies an annual direct, non-ad valorem special tax directly on the parcel's secured property tax bill to fund designated community infrastructure (e.g., roads, sewer facilities, school facilities, emergency services) and repay municipal debt bonds. State (California) — California Homeowners' Property Tax Exemption: Reduces the taxable assessed value of the qualifying owner-occupied principal residence by $7,000 against the county assessment roll, generating a direct tax savings of approximately $70 annually (computed as $7,000 × 1% base rate). State (California) — California Proposition 13 Ad Valorem Real Property Tax: Establishes a base ad valorem tax rate capped at 1.0% of assessed value plus voter-approved local indebtedness and direct assessments (typically resulting in an effective tax rate of 1.1% to 1.25%). County (Stanislaus County, California) — Ad Valorem Property Tax: The base property tax rate is 1% of the assessed value, as mandated by California Proposition 13, plus additional voter-approved levies for local agencies and schools.

Transportation & commute

Most residents commute by driving, with Highway 99 serving as the primary artery for travel toward employment centers in Modesto and the broader Central Valley. Public transit options are limited, consisting primarily of local bus services.

Recreation & amenities

The area features several community parks and green spaces, including Smyrna Park, which offers sports facilities and picnic areas. Shopping and dining options are concentrated along the main commercial corridors of Mitchell Road and Whitmore Avenue.

Rental market

The rental market is characterized by low vacancy rates and consistent demand, particularly for single-family home rentals. Investor interest remains active due to the relative affordability compared to coastal California markets.

Economy & employers

The local economy is anchored by agriculture, food processing, and logistics, benefiting from the region's central location in California. Major employers include regional distribution centers and public sector entities.

Transportation & infrastructure

The area is served by Highway 99, providing critical north-south access. Local transit is provided by Stanislaus Regional Transit Authority.

Development pipeline

Development is focused on residential infill and the expansion of commercial services along major arterial roads to support the growing population.

County appraisal district

The Stanislaus County Assessor's office manages property valuations, adhering to state-mandated assessment cycles and Proposition 13 guidelines.

Special districts

Parcels are subject to various special districts, including the Ceres Unified School District and local water/sewer utility districts.

Insurance & hazard market

Property insurance availability is stable, though premiums are influenced by regional wildfire risk assessments and general California market trends.

Migration & population flows

The state continues to see shifts in domestic migration, with inland areas like Stanislaus County attracting residents from higher-cost coastal regions.

Foreclosure doctrine

California operates as a non-judicial foreclosure state, with specific notice and cure periods defined by state law.

Disclosure doctrine

Sellers are required to provide a comprehensive Transfer Disclosure Statement detailing the condition of the property and any known defects.

Discovery profileACS 2023 5-year estimates
Census profile · ZCTA 95307, Stanislaus County, CA
Population
52,000
Median age
33.6 yrs
Owner-occupancy
63.6%
Median home value
$456,594
Median gross rent
$1,000
Median household income
$64,494
Median year built
1990
Vacancy rate
3.5%
Renter share
36.4%
Owner cost burden
28%
Renter cost burden
45%
Population change
+1.2%
Net migration
500
Work-from-home share
12%
Mean commute
32.5 min
Bachelor's or higher
15%
Unemployment
6.5%
Poverty rate
14%
Avg household size
3.4
Hispanic or Latino
55%
White
35%
Other
10%

Data retrieved from US Census Bureau ZCTA-level tables.

Public schools with an address here · 2

Public schools whose reported address is in this area (NCES). Not attendance boundaries — schools that serve residents may sit outside it. Check the district's address locator for assignment.

Ceres High SchoolHigh6/10Ceres UnifiedServes the primary high school population for the ZIP.
Mae Hensley Junior HighMiddle5/10Ceres UnifiedKey middle school serving the central area.
School districts
Ceres Unified ISDB-The primary district serving the majority of the ZIP code.
Utilities & services
ElectricTurlock Irrigation DistrictPrimary provider for the area.
Water/SewerCity of CeresMunicipal service provider.
InternetComcast/AT&TMajor broadband providers.
Major employers & industries
Ceres Unified School DistrictEducationMajor local employer.
Regional Logistics CentersLogisticsSignificant regional employer.
Major amenities · ZIP 95307
Theme, amusement & water parks
10 · 20 mi
Entertainment venues, stadiums & amphitheaters
14 · 20 mi
Family fun & things to do
20+ · 13 mi
Museums, galleries & history
8 · 20 mi
Parks, trails & nature
17 · 13 mi
Shopping & dining districts
6 · 13 mi
Airports
1 · 31 mi

Theme parks, venues, golf, airports, museums, water and shopping across the area ranked by popularity within the radius shown.

Amenities & attractions2 retained amenities · 1 development on the horizon
Inside this ZIP
Smyrna Park
Park

A major community park featuring sports fields, playgrounds, and picnic areas.

Whitmore Plaza
Shopping

A central retail hub providing grocery and service options for the local community.

On the horizon · announced & under construction
Highway 99 Corridor ExpansionInfrastructureOngoingMulti-phase project to improve traffic flow and regional connectivity.
Sources · 6 cited

Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.