The story of this market
The typical home in Dumfries, Virginia sells for about $331,800, or $205 per square foot.
Prices are up +4.44% from a year ago, so sellers still have some momentum. Homes take about 35 days to sell. HUD's fair market rent for a two-bedroom is $1,850 a month.
Monthly price momentum
Home values since 2015
+2.6%
VA · past 12 months
Freddie Mac House Price Index, single-family homes, monthly through 2026-08. Each line starts at 100 in January 2015, so a reading of 180 means prices are up 80% since then.
Dumfries, Virginia
The Dumfries housing market is showing positive momentum, supported by steady population growth and significant regional development projects like Potomac Shores. While inventory remains tight, the town's affordability relative to the broader D.C. metro area continues to attract buyers. Market conditions are currently driven by strong demand from military personnel and commuters, keeping the outlook optimistic.
No ARED county foreclosure postings attributed to Dumfries yet — the verified ledger covers every county the foreclosure ingest has read, attributed by published city area. Key-figure check: no independent anchor retained yet — first-researched cycles establish the anchor baseline this pass.
Deterministic aggregate of 2 researched ZIP reports — sales_count-weighted (population fallback); per point, children lacking the value or its weight are excluded. Tax rates, sentiment and context notes are tier-native and never roll.
Median prices moved up 0.7% year over year.
Homes spend a median of 30 days on market with 0.8 months of supply — a fast-moving market.
7% of listings have cut prices · homes sell at 38.58% of asking — demand is holding steady.
no recorded foreclosure-ledger notices (0.0 per 10,000 residents) · unemployment 2.6% · poverty 5.0% — a stable, low-distress profile.
The amenity base that shapes daily life and property demand in this city — what residents actually live with, and what the pipeline is adding.
A massive 15,000-acre park offering extensive hiking, biking, and camping, serving as a major natural anchor for the region.
Provides scenic waterfront access and recreational opportunities, contributing to the area's natural appeal.
Dumfries is well-suited for military families stationed at Quantico, commuters seeking more affordable housing options than those found closer to D.C., and first-time homebuyers. The town offers a balance of historic charm and modern suburban convenience. Investors often find value in the area's steady rental demand and ongoing development projects.
Public schools in Dumfries are part of the Prince William County Public Schools system, which is one of the largest in Virginia. Schools in the area generally receive mixed performance ratings, with ongoing district efforts to improve student outcomes and facility infrastructure. Families often evaluate specific school boundaries closely due to variance in performance metrics across the district.
Dumfries is strategically located along the I-95 corridor, providing critical access to Northern Virginia and Washington D.C. employment hubs. Commuters rely heavily on personal vehicles, though regional bus services and proximity to VRE commuter rail stations provide alternative transit options. Traffic congestion remains a significant factor in daily commute planning.
Dumfries offers access to significant outdoor amenities, most notably the Prince William Forest Park, which provides extensive hiking, biking, and camping opportunities. The town is also near the Potomac River, offering water-based recreation and scenic views. Local parks and community centers provide additional space for youth sports and neighborhood gatherings.
The rental market in Dumfries is characterized by steady demand driven by military personnel and commuters working in Northern Virginia. Vacancy rates remain relatively low, and rent trajectories have trended upward in line with the broader Washington D.C. metro area. Investor interest is present, particularly in single-family rental properties, though short-term rental activity remains limited by local zoning.
The local economy is heavily influenced by the proximity to Marine Corps Base Quantico, which serves as a primary employment anchor. The area also benefits from a diverse mix of retail, service, and federal contracting businesses. Economic momentum is supported by ongoing commercial development along the I-95 corridor.
Dumfries is experiencing significant economic momentum driven by its proximity to Marine Corps Base Quantico and the ongoing development of the Potomac Shores area. Infrastructure improvements, including road expansions and commercial revitalization projects, are actively reshaping the town's landscape. Major employers in the region include federal government contractors and the retail/service sectors supporting the I-95 corridor.
Development activity is focused on the revitalization of the town center and the expansion of the Potomac Shores project. These initiatives aim to increase commercial density and improve local infrastructure to support a growing population. Planning efforts are currently prioritizing sustainable growth and improved connectivity.
Parcels in Dumfries are subject to Prince William County school and service districts, with additional town-specific municipal taxes. Some newer developments may be part of community associations or special service districts that fund specific infrastructure maintenance.
Dumfries experiences crime rates generally consistent with suburban Prince William County, with property crime being the primary concern. Local law enforcement maintains active community policing initiatives to address regional trends. Residents typically view the area as moderately safe compared to denser urban centers in Northern Virginia.
The area faces standard regional risks, including potential for localized flooding near Quantico Creek and seasonal wind events. Property insurance markets remain stable, though premiums are influenced by broader Northern Virginia risk assessments. Residents are encouraged to maintain standard hazard coverage as part of their mortgage requirements.
Property insurance in Dumfries is generally stable, with premiums reflecting regional risk factors such as storm activity and flood zones. Market health is considered robust, with competitive options available for homeowners.
The Town of Dumfries levies its own real estate tax rate in addition to the Prince William County property tax. The town utilizes a standard assessment-based formula, with rates set annually by the Town Council to fund municipal services. Special district taxes may apply to specific developments, particularly those involving new infrastructure or community amenities.
Researched annual trajectory for this city, from published historical series
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 4.9%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Median annual property tax paid on this city's residential parcels
Solid: researched ten-year history · dotted: 1 / 3 / 5-year projection extended from the historical 3.5%/yr trend — a deterministic estimate, not a published forecast or guarantee.
Data retrieved from US Census Bureau QuickFacts and ACS 5-year profiles.
The federal school roster could not be retrieved on the last refresh — no list is shown rather than an unverified one. Source: NCES EDGE public school locations 2023-24.